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Historically accurate Bitcoin metric suggests BTC price has bottomed out

 As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) tries to build support at $ 37,000 on Tuesday, the last recent low of $ 30,000 will be the lowest, an analysis of key market reports shows. History of the last cyclical decline of BTC / USD after its cycle.


The last time he rated it was on November 1, as the purchase price of a Bitcoin on Coinbase rose from $ 13,771 to $ 64,899.


Anatomy of bullish expression

The math indicator, also called the "turnover base", compares the difference between the price of a future bond and a spot on an annual basis. For example, if the Bitcoin contract is trading at a rate of 2.5% for its quarterly value, the annual meeting comes out at 10%.


In uncertainty, future assets are sold at a discounted or future price. When the value of the asset is higher than the cost of future repairs, it is called a deduction. Conversely, when the mall operates in the future - which has always been present in the financial sector - it represents a state of contango (respect).


The Bitcoin market is looking to the future of volatility and climbing. Scents are usually signaled at the top in stores. In contrast, cloud recovery helps to see the bottom line in the bear market.


For example, in June 2019, OKEx trade volume experienced discrepancies above the 3.5% level. It exceeded about 6.8% while Bitcoin was over $ 11,000. However, the BTC / USD portfolio grew further to $ 14,000. The couple then entered the gold market for many months, for nearly $ 3,100 at the end of December 2019.


Ben Lilly, a crypto trader at Jarvis Labs, read the text of "BTC Futures Rolling 3 Month Base" against Bitcoin trading platforms and noted that when the first is closer or less than 1%, you should end up trading it. use it as an exit end. use the sign and start a new cycle up.


The BitMEX chart above shows several times compared to the initial reading speed of less than 1% during the fall of Bitcoin in the stock market. Later cryptocurrencies began to go through a backlog - a new upward trend - before a revision once again showed just a radical drop below 1%. Rinse and repeat.


For example, in March 2020, when the coronavirus that dominated the global market exploded, Bitcoin futures fell back to a modest 14%, bringing Bitcoin lower in the retail market by about $ 3,858.


The basis of the future of Bitcoin pr. May 25

Lilly shares a Skew chart showing that the annual BTC cycle is falling below 1% for the first time since November 2020.




This looks like a promise to see the bottom line, "Lilly wrote in her newspaper.


"That's why we spend so much money. Because only when people thought the crypto was going to run out and it came out of the boom, it came back again."


He added that just for reading is a great time for Bitcoin sites to take off, but that does not mean it will not open up to the market in the long run. In the future.


The risk is higher with market derivatives due to the lack of exchange rate. Lilly said sales sentiment has not diminished even after the $ 6 billion USD (USDC) hit the market - a sign that traders will use stabilcoin in dollars to buy cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.


"At the moment we are flying unmanned land," he added.


The statement emerged as Bitcoin, showing a less than significant impact on the innovative short-term approach to daily animal prices in previous discussions. Monday rally showed that the BTC price was being denied by a $ 40,000 level rejection.


Currently, BTC is trying to find a support level of USD 37,000, almost 40% lower than the current all-time price.

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